Here's What History Says to Expect for Ethereum This Summer
Written by Alex Carchidi for The Motley Fool -> Investors tend to have rose-tinted glasses about Ethereum's performance during the summer. Barring a few great years, it's usually a slow period. However, that doesn't necessarily mean you should be buying it. If you ask a longt
Investors tend to have rose-tinted glasses about Ethereum's performance during the summer.
However, that doesn't necessarily mean you should be buying it.
If you ask a longtime Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) holder how he or she feels about the coin's performance during the summer, the person might talk about that one time in 2021 when the coin was on fire -- and then wince when starting to think about how it performs pretty much every other year. The warm months have a habit of handing the second largest cryptocurrency a slow, grinding decline that saps holders' patience.
This year, the slow season opens with Ethereum already in bad shape. The coin is trading near $1,675.66, below its August 2025 peak, as the crypto market is in a state of extreme pessimism and fear.
Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »
So, are holders in for more pain, or will things be different this time?
Since Ethereum's launch, its median return is -8.7% in June, -4.4% in July, -4.5% in August, and -9.3% in September. Thus, the reasonable thing to expect is more pain (or more opportunity to buy the dip) ahead. But when July or August trends upward instead of down, it tends to be quite explosive; in 2020, 2022, and 2025, the coin climbed by at least 49%.
Frustratingly for investors, there isn't really a coherent mechanism driving this seasonality, which makes it hard to plan around it with precision.
