Shifting US politics offers opportunity for Palestinian self-determination

On August 5, progressive candidate Abdul El-Sayed won the Democratic primary for the US Senate in Michigan, beating Haley Stevens, who was backed by the Democratic establishment. The race reflected the escalating rift within the Democratic Party over support for Israel. El-Sayed, like other progressives, is an outspoken critic of Israel and has openly expressed solidarity with the Palestinian cause. Stevens, on the other hand, was supported by pro-Israel Political Action Committees (PACs).

For years, many Israelis assumed that unquestioned bipartisan support in Washington would continue to underpin its political strategy, regardless of which administration sat in the Oval Office. Halfway through the decade, however, bipartisan support for Israel in the US is eroding. In this environment, Palestinians have a rare opportunity to translate shifting public sentiment into sustained political pressure capable of advancing policies that end the Israeli occupation and support Palestinian self-determination.

According to a Pew Research Center survey released in April, 60 percent of US adults now hold an unfavourable view of Israel, with negative perceptions especially pronounced among younger Americans. These trends should not be mistaken for a wholesale shift towards support for Palestinian rights. They do, however, suggest that longstanding political assumptions about unwavering support for Israel are becoming increasingly fragile.

The shift is also evident within traditionally pro-Israel constituencies. A March 2026 J Street poll found that 70 percent of American Jews oppose unconditional military and financial assistance to Israel.

Even among Republicans and conservative Christians, who have traditionally supported close US-Israeli ties, negative views of Israel are growing.

While the future direction of Democratic politics remains uncertain, it is increasingly difficult to imagine a Democratic presidential nominee who adopts a less critical approach to Israeli policy than previous generations of party leadership. Meanwhile, congressional initiatives such as proposed legislation seeking to end US assistance to Israel demonstrate that debates once considered politically unthinkable have entered the mainstream.

Israeli policymakers are increasingly aware that bipartisan American support can no longer be taken for granted. Opposition figures have openly criticised Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for contributing to the erosion of that consensus by aligning Israel too closely with one side of American politics.

Yet, there is little evidence that Israel’s opposition has embraced a fundamentally different approach to the conflict itself. The last government formed without Netanyahu, despite its broader political coalition, pursued policies that continued to undermine Palestinian rights wrapped in a different rhetoric.