The U.S. Economy Just Experienced Its 5th Largest Month of Job Losses Since 2020. Here's Why It's Both Good and Bad News
Written by Bram Berkowitz for The Motley Fool -> Prior to the July jobs report, the market had been banking on a rate hike at the Fed's September meeting. That has now changed. A weaker labor markeโฆ
Prior to the July jobs report, the market had been banking on a rate hike at the Fed's September meeting. That has now changed.
A weaker labor market, however, could suggest the consumer is not as strong as initially thought.
The July jobs report delivered a surprise to the downside, forcing investors to rethink their view of monetary policy for the rest of the year.
The U.S. economy saw a 23,000 decline in non-farm payrolls, well below economistsโ estimates calling for an 83,000 gain. Interestingly, the unemployment rate also declined slightly to 4.1%, as fewer Americans participated in the labor force last month.
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The 23,000 decline is the fifth-largest monthly decline since 2020.
The report brings both good and bad news. On the positive front, a weaker labor market could prevent the Fed from raising interest rates at its September meeting. On the downside, the report could indicate that the labor market remains fragile, implying the economy may not be as strong as initially perceived.
Heading into this jobs report, it was unclear how the Federal Reserve would proceed with interest rates at its September meeting.
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