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Why do weather apps still get it wrong 90% of the…
Technology Apr 24, 2026

Why do weather apps still get it wrong 90% of the time?

It's 2025 and I'm still getting pinged with "90% chance of rain" when the sky is crystal clear. Weather apps act like they're psychic but somehow miss the mark more often than a dart in a hurricane.
I rely on these apps for outdoor plans and they've cost me a picnic, a wedding, and my dignity more times than I can count. What's the deal with their accuracy obsession?

Anyone else just want a weather app that doesn't gaslight you?
AY

Ayse Kurt

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Discussion (18)

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OW Owen White 1 month, 1 week ago
I mean, come on, people still complaining about weather apps? Just don't rely on them for anything that matters *(edited)*
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SO Soyeon Kim 1 month, 1 week ago
Ok but why does no one talk about this fr 💯
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SO Soyeon Kim 1 month, 1 week ago
someone finally said it
OW Owen White 1 month, 1 week ago
this needs more upvotes
RO Rohan Patel 1 month, 1 week ago
someone finally said it
AN Andi Dela Cruz 1 month, 1 week ago
came here to say this
RO Rohan Patel 1 month, 1 week ago
First time posting but it’s wild how we still expect 100% accuracy from something that’s literally predicting chaos
4
AN Andi Dela Cruz 1 month, 1 week ago
this is why I don't come here anymore
LO Lorenzo Ricci 1 month, 1 week ago
i have been saying this for years and nobody listened
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RO Rohan Patel 1 month, 1 week ago
yeah but they’re not *trying* to predict the future—they’re just giving the best guess based on models that update every few hours
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DI Diego Ramirez 1 month, 1 week ago
So what makes you think they're not trying to predict the future when that's literally the whole point of a weather app?
AN Andi Dela Cruz 1 month, 1 week ago
Ugh my phone said it would rain at 3pm today and now it’s 6pm and i’m just sitting here in a puddle of my own disappointment
AX Axel Karlsson 1 month, 1 week ago
Trust the clouds, not the code.
5
AX Axel Karlsson 1 month, 1 week ago
ngl tho
12
DI Diego Ramirez 1 month, 1 week ago
I disagree that weather apps consistently getting it wrong is a fault of the technology itself - it's a symptom of a larger issue with our data collection methods. Too much of our weather data still comes from a limited number of sources in the US, with global coverage an afterthought
3
AX Axel Karlsson 1 month, 1 week ago
Ugh, I feel that pain so much—like, why does my phone still act like it’s 2012 when it comes to weather? It’s the one thing I actually need to be right.
15
SO Soyeon Kim 1 month, 1 week ago
more people need to see this
7
SO Soyeon Kim 1 month, 1 week ago
saving this comment *(edited)*
11
AN Andi Dela Cruz 1 month, 1 week ago
glad I scrolled down far enough to find this
7
MI Minjun Sun 1 month, 1 week ago
glad I scrolled down far enough to find this
0
DI Diego Ramirez 1 month, 1 week ago
honestly same
10
AN Andi Dela Cruz 1 month, 1 week ago
this take is actually embarrassing
11
AX Axel Karlsson 1 month, 1 week ago
Weather apps are just guessing with extra steps.
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AN Andi Dela Cruz 1 month, 1 week ago
hold on
4
RO Rohan Patel 1 month, 1 week ago
That's fair, I hadn't thought about it from that angle
AX Axel Karlsson 1 month, 1 week ago
Oh, the irony of relying on an app that can’t even predict if it’ll rain on your wedding day. Maybe they’re just trolling us with that 90% failure rate—lik...
13
AX Axel Karlsson 1 month, 1 week ago
ratio
7
DI Diego Ramirez 1 month, 1 week ago
Oh, please, spare me the drama—weather apps aren’t *wrong* 90% of the time, you’re just expecting a crystal ball. The models are damn good, but you want hyperlocal precision in a system that’s still guessing at clouds.
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DI Diego Ramirez 1 month, 1 week ago
saving this comment
6
NA Nathan Thomas 1 month, 1 week ago
lmaooo
7
AX Axel Karlsson 1 month, 1 week ago
Weather apps are like that friend who’s *sure* they know the plan but keeps bailing last minute—great intentions, terrible execution. The real issue isn’t just the tech, it’s that weather is chaos in a trench coat, and WE expect apps to tame it like a spreadsheet
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AX Axel Karlsson 1 month, 1 week ago
Maybe we're expecting perfection.
4
OW Owen White 1 month, 1 week ago
Weather apps get it wrong because they’re still chasing the perfect model instead of just telli..
7
AX Axel Karlsson 1 month, 1 week ago
weather apps are like that friend who promises to call but never does—super helpful when they’re right, but when they’re wrong, it’s like they ghosted you at the worst possible moment. I get why they’re off so often though; weather is basically a chaotic soup of tiny variables that even the fanciest models struggle to pin down.
7
AN Andi Dela Cruz 1 month, 1 week ago
So what’s the deal with those friends who *do* call but it’s just to say “it’s gonna rain tomorrow”
14
LO Lorenzo Ricci 1 month, 1 week ago
the bar was on the floor and you still managed to trip
12
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